Bitcoin exchange reserves drop to a three-year low, signaling a potential supply shock as institutional buying from ETFs continues.
Bitcoin exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest level since 2022, suggesting a supply shock as institutional demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues to grow.
Bitcoin BTC $95,442 reserves across all cryptocurrency exchanges have fallen to a three-year low of 2.5 million BTC, CryptoQuant data shows.
Bitcoin exchange reserves, all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant
Diminishing Bitcoin supply on exchanges may signal an incoming price rally driven by a “supply shock,” which occurs when strong buyer demand meets decreasing available BTC, leading to price appreciation.
BTC/USD, 1-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph
Meanwhile, BTC rose by 0.4% in the 24 hours leading up to the time of writing to trade above $97,000 despite investor sentiment pressured by global trade war concerns following new import tariffs announced by the US and China.
Bitcoin resilient above $95,000 on “strong institutional interest”
Bitcoin remained above the key $95,000 psychological support despite experiencing the largest daily selling pressure since the collapse of Three Arrows Capital (3AC) in June 2022.
Bitcoin’s resilience above the $95,000 mark suggests “strong institutional interest” and “seller exhaustion,” according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research:
“The phenomenon of ‘seller exhaustion’ might further indicate that the market is transitioning from selling to buying pressure.”
“Factors like global economic conditions, technological advancements and psychological support levels also play crucial roles in stabilizing Bitcoin’s price,” he added.
Still, stagnating spot Bitcoin ETF inflows may continue to pressure Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Bitcoin ETF flows (US dollar, million). Source: Farside Investors
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw over $186 million worth of net negative outflows on Feb. 10, erasing the previous day’s net positive inflows of $171 million, Farside Investors data shows.
Related: Austin University to launch $5M Bitcoin fund with 5-year HODL strategy: Report
Maintaining the $95,000 psychological support will be critical for Bitcoin’s momentum to avoid significant downside volatility.
Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass
A potential Bitcoin correction below $95,000 would liquidate over $1.52 billion worth of cumulative leveraged long positions across all exchanges, CoinGlass data shows.
Despite short-term correction concerns below $90,000, Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains optimistic for the rest of 2025, with predictions ranging from $160,000 to above $180,000.
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