{"id":54891,"date":"2026-02-09T04:08:28","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T04:08:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54891"},"modified":"2026-02-09T04:08:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T04:08:29","slug":"bitcoin-bear-market-not-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54891","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin bear market not over?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price analysis stayed bearish on the outlook for BTC, predicting new macro lows in a repeat of the 2022 bear market.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin gained up to 3% Sunday, but some traders refused to believe that the BTC price crash was over.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key points:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Bitcoin price comparisons warn that new macro lows are due if the 2022 bear market continues to repeat.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Moving averages and the cost basis of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs are in focus.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Analysis says that a carbon copy of 2022 is not a certainty.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Bitcoin capitulation \u201chasn\u2019t happened yet\u201d<\/h2>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Data from TradingView showed BTC\/USD crossing $71,000, now up 20% versus Friday\u2019s 15-month lows.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2026-02\/019c3da7-8325-7095-83ec-e865bf1a9029.png\" alt=\"\" data-ct-img-zoomable=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As the weekly close neared, Bitcoin added characteristic volatility, while market participants remained highly skeptical that the rebound would last.<\/p>\n<p>Uploading a chart to X which compared current BTC price action to the 2022 bear market, independent analyst Filbfilb had no good news for bulls.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIm not going to try to dress it up any way other than how it looks,\u201d he commented alongside a chart showing spot price versus the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $95,300.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2026-02\/019c3da0-c540-7345-9468-57ceed341730.jpeg\" alt=\"\" data-ct-img-zoomable=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD one-week chart. Source: Filbfilb\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div data-ct-widget=\"inline-ad\">\n<div class=\"_ad-slot_xzt52_1\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Analyst Tony Severino held similar ideas, contributing multiple price indicators and concluding that new lows were all but guaranteed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?creatorScreenName=cointelegraph&amp;dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2020477493472276859&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fcointelegraph.com%2Fnews%2Fbitcoin-bear-market-not-over-trader-btc-price-real-bottom-50k&amp;sessionId=d7ed459b67d62ee3970e67eba5d120241a0b83cb&amp;siteScreenName=cointelegraph&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2020477493472276859\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>\u201c$BTC final capitulation hasn&#8217;t happened yet,\u201d trader BitBull agreed, like Filbfilb referencing 2022.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cA real bottom will form below $50,000 level where most of the ETF buyers will be underwater.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2026-02\/019c3da3-346d-7a85-838a-5a57d64a69a9.png\" alt=\"\" data-ct-img-zoomable=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>US spot Bitcoin ETF data. Source: Checkonchain<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) currently have an average buy-in cost of $82,000, per data from monitoring resource Checkonchain.<\/p>\n<div data-ct-widget=\"inline-parallax-ad\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<h2>BTC price deja vu continues<\/h2>\n<p>Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on a key bear market feature for Bitcoin based on two other trend lines: the 200-week simple (SMA) and exponential moving averages.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><em><strong>What crashed Bitcoin? Three theories behind BTC&#8217;s trip below $60K<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Together, they form a \u201ccloud\u201d of support between $58,000 and $68,000.<\/p>\n<p>In one of his latest market takes at the weekend, Caleb Franzen, creator of analytics resource Cubic Analytics, argued that here too, the ghost of 2022 was in play.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn May 2022, Bitcoin retested its 200-week MA cloud. Bulls said \u2018that&#8217;s it, we&#8217;ve retested the long-term moving average &amp; can continue higher now.\u2019 Price immediately rebounded on that zone, produced a long wick, &amp; closed above the midpoint of the weekly range,\u201d he summarized.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cBut then that rally faded&#8230; Price came back into the 200W MA cloud a few weeks later, failed to rebound, then sliced through the cloud in June 2022. What are we seeing right now? The first retest of the 200W MA cloud with a long wick.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2026-02\/019c3da6-cb0d-7771-9860-8d55722dd824.png\" alt=\"\" data-ct-img-zoomable=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD one-week chart with 200 SMA, 200 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Franzen note that the market may not replicate the previous bear market \u201cperfectly.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe reality is that no one knows what happens next,\u201d he acknowledged.<\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>Be the first to get most important HYIP news everyday!<br \/>\nSimply Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EmilyNewsOnline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">EN Facebook<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/CryptoHyipsEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\">EN Telegram<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmilyHyipNews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-size: 1.3em;\">EN Twitter<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\nor Subscribe to <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=Emilynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EN Feedburner<\/a><\/strong> and submit your email address!<\/p>\n<p>If you like this article and want to support EN \u2013 please share it by using at least few of social media buttons below. Thanks and See you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Reminder2-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13137\" src=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Reminder2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"544\" height=\"600\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price analysis stayed bearish on the outlook for BTC, predicting new macro lows in a repeat of the 2022 bear market. Bitcoin gained up to 3% Sunday, but some traders refused to believe that &hellip; <a title=\"Bitcoin bear market not over?\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54891\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bitcoin bear market not over?<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54893,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,3812,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-54891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-cryptonews","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin bear market not over? - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54891\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin bear market not over? - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin price analysis stayed bearish on the outlook for BTC, predicting new macro lows in a repeat of the 2022 bear market. 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