{"id":54438,"date":"2025-12-05T03:45:46","date_gmt":"2025-12-05T03:45:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54438"},"modified":"2025-12-05T03:45:48","modified_gmt":"2025-12-05T03:45:48","slug":"bitcoin-price-action-during-december","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54438","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin price action during December?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An emerging bullish Bitcoin trend challenges a decade-long bearish seasonal pattern. Will BTC hit new highs before the end of 2025?<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin entered the new month with a statistical headwind it has never overcome: Every time November ended in the red, BTC struggled to turn bullish in December. Yet this year\u2019s structure looks materially different, with momentum, liquidity rotation and cycle deviations pushing against what has been a 100% bearish seasonal setup.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ae9e0-47f2-7f52-98be-b93654dcc8b6\" alt=\"Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" \/><figcaption><em>Bitcoin returns in December after a red November. Source: CoinGlass<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><strong>Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s bearish December period could change with reduced leverage, and price reclaiming a key technical level, hinting at a more stable setup.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Macroeconomic liquidity and M2 velocity are diverging from Bitcoin\u2019s buying activity, which is usually seen in the middle stages of a bull market.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s cycle structure has evolved, with spot ETF inflows and global liquidity dynamics altering the traditional halving-based cycles.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Seasonality breakers and the case of cycle deviation for BTC<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin returns in Q4 have long reflected strong seasonality, with a weak December performance typically following a negative November. Yet market structure has somewhat diverged sharply from past cycles in 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ae9e2-8449-73d0-8e79-838deef9e2bd\" alt=\"Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" \/><figcaption><em>Bitcoin attempts to consolidate above one-month rVWAP. Source: <\/em><em>Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>BTC\u2019s price has returned above its monthly rolling volume-weighted average price (rVWAP) levels, signalling controlled distribution and high-timeframe trend adoption. A significant drop in open interest from $94 billion to $60 billion has normalized or reset the market without killing spot inflows, creating a cleaner base for continuation.<\/p>\n<p>From a technical standpoint, deep liquidity clusters have migrated from November\u2019s downside liquidation, totaling about $1 billion near $80,000, to the upside inefficient clusters. At the moment, $3 billion in cumulative short positions would be liquidated at $96,000 and over $7 billion once BTC hits $100,000.<\/p>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Thus, these factors do suggest that December could be mispriced relative to its historical probability curve of Bitcoin\u2019s performance.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ae9e5-5032-7577-9f56-62c8d9350222\" alt=\"Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" \/><figcaption><em>Bitcoin liquidity heatmap over three months. Source: Hyblock Capital<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Still, the current momentum can be deceiving. Cointelegraph noted that the taker buy\/sell ratio near 1.17 showed urgency, not depth, and often appeared when positioning is crowded. Market analyst EndGame Macro said it reflected aggressive buys but not necessarily sustainable accumulation.<\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, M2 velocity has flattened, signaling that the broader economic engine may be losing momentum even as risk assets continue to stretch higher. This creates a setup typical of late market-cycle phases, where markets get louder while the underlying economy gets quieter.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ae9e7-7dad-7dca-9627-d2cbadae161e\" alt=\"Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" \/><figcaption><em>Velocity of M2 Money Stock. Source: X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Against this backdrop, Bitcoin\u2019s attempt to establish its first-ever green December after a negative November becomes a test of whether positioning can overpower broader market fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related:\u00a0Strategy\u2019s \u2018unicorn\u2019 technical pattern puts 50% MSTR stock rebound in play<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>A change beyond the traditional halving clock<\/h2>\n<p>Over the past few months, analysts have argued that a four-year cycle for Bitcoin does not fully explain BTC\u2019s current market structure. Crypto analyst Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe noted that the four-year cycle hasn\u2019t disappeared, but it no longer aligns cleanly with time-based expectations.<\/p>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Spot BTC ETF inflows have introduced a constant, structural bid, accelerating price discovery and raising Bitcoin\u2019s effective floor compared with earlier cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Van de Poppe argued that this cycle resembles an extended liquidity phase, similar to mid-2016 or late 2019, when risk assets strengthened despite uneven macroeconomic data.<\/p>\n<p>Supporting indicators, such as the CNY\/USD correlation with ETH\/BTC, typically turn higher early in expansionary windows, not near market cycle peaks.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ae9e8-ef9e-7265-a721-e7b49fb71dee\" alt=\"Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" \/><figcaption><em>CNY\/USD and ETH\/BTC directional bias. Source: X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, business-cycle signals, such as the Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI), are slowly improving, alongside gold&#8217;s relative strength, suggesting that risk appetite is rebuilding from cyclical lows rather than weakening. Van de Popped added,<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cNow, if we combine the business cycle strength\/weakness with Bitcoin cycles, then again, the correlation is quite clear. This stage is comparable to Q1\/2 2016, Q4 2019. We&#8217;re nowhere near a top on Bitcoin, and we&#8217;re still in the final easy cycle of crypto with exorbitant returns.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In this context, Bitcoin\u2019s December setup depends less on repeating historical seasonality and more on whether new structural forces, such as spot ETF inflows, liquidity rotation and shifting macroeconomic correlations, outweigh older halving-driven cycles.<\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>If one of the paying programs on our Monitor appeals to you, please support <em>EmilyNews<\/em> by registering for it on our website. Thanks very very much!<\/p>\n<p>EN web <strong>Support Chat<\/strong> | Hyips and Crypto questions \u2013 <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"http:\/\/emilynews.com\/chat\/hyips\/\">HyipChatEN<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Telegram Chat for Crypto and Hyip reports: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/HyipChatEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@HyipChatEN<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>Be the first to get most important HYIP news everyday!<br \/>\nSimply Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EmilyNewsOnline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">EN Facebook<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/CryptoHyipsEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\">EN Telegram<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmilyHyipNews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-size: 1.3em;\">EN Twitter<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\nor Subscribe to <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=Emilynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EN Feedburner<\/a><\/strong> and submit your email address!<\/p>\n<p>If you like this article and want to support EN \u2013 please share it by using at least few of social media buttons below. 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Bitcoin entered the new month with a statistical headwind it has never overcome: Every &hellip; <a title=\"Bitcoin price action during December?\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54438\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bitcoin price action during December?<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,3812,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-54438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-cryptonews","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin price action during December? - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54438\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin price action during December? - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"An emerging bullish Bitcoin trend challenges a decade-long bearish seasonal pattern. 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