{"id":54396,"date":"2025-12-02T03:50:20","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T03:50:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54396"},"modified":"2025-12-02T03:52:31","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T03:52:31","slug":"bitcoin-could-crash-another-50","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54396","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin could crash another 50%?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s first monthly MACD rollover this cycle, alongside onchain data, raised the odds of a deeper pullback, as BTC price forecasts now include the mid-$60,000s.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin <span style=\"font-size: 1rem;\">$86,843<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-block relative hover:bg-button-default\" data-testid=\"live-data-ticker\">\n<div class=\"pt-1 z-20 centered-axis-x\">\n<div class=\"box-content bg-white min-w-56 max-w-64 rounded-xl border border-fg-gray p-3 flex flex-col gap-y-3 shadow\" data-testid=\"live-data-desktop-popup\">\n<div class=\"flex justify-between items-center\"><span class=\"text-uiSWeak text-bg-invertedWeak\"> Market Cap <\/span><span class=\"text-uiSDefault text-bg-invertedWeak\" data-testid=\"live-data-desktop-popup-marketCap\"> $1.73T <\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"flex justify-between items-center\"><span class=\"text-uiSWeak text-bg-invertedWeak\"> Volume (24h) <\/span><span class=\"text-uiSDefault text-bg-invertedWeak\" data-testid=\"live-data-desktop-popup-volume24h\"> $31.03T <\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-1.5\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>sellers are getting increasingly louder as several more bearish signals have emerged for this week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Bitcoin\u2019s monthly MACD rollover keeps risks skewed toward further downside.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">MVRV bands suggest BTC may still fall toward key mean-reversion levels.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Bitcoin MACD flips red for the first time this cycle<\/h2>\n<p>In October, Bitcoin\u2019s monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) crossed into bearish territory for the first time in the current bull market.<\/p>\n<p>Since 2014, the monthly MACD has flipped red on five separate occasions. In four of those cases, as trader Brett highlighted, Bitcoin went on to record drawdowns of about 50% before finding the floor.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ad940-01a6-7a9c-b9b8-0361f44f635a\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD monthly chart. Source: TradingView\/Brett<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Only once, in 2019, did the signal align closely with a market bottom, and even then, the price continued falling for two months after the initial crossover.<\/p>\n<p>Since the October MACD crossover, Bitcoin declined by about 35%. The indicator suggested room for an additional 25% dip by January 2026, placing BTC\u2019s next key downside target near the $62,200 level.<\/p>\n<p>That is near the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) support target of previous bear markets at around $66,300.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ad9b1-d945-75c8-a167-4aefa70a45e0\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USDT weekly chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin can go below $50,000: Peter Brandt<\/h2>\n<p>A similar risk zone appeared on long-term trend charts shared by veteran trader Peter Brandt.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ad9a8-e984-7483-b576-083da08bc5ad\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>His projections indicated that Bitcoin was likely to drift toward the upper boundary of its rising support channel in the sub-$70,000 area. Trader Crypto Patel foresaw a similar target using Fibonacci retracement lines, as shown below.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ad9b6-8b56-724c-bfdd-82ed26b38252\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView\/Crypto Patel<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Brandt projected deeper downside targets extending into the mid-$40,000s if selling pressure accelerates, or down 50% from current levels.<\/p>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">A double top fractal structure, as predicted by analyst Tracer, shared a similar outcome.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin\u2019s MVRV bands favor the bears<\/h2>\n<p>Onchain valuation metrics echo the bearish technical setup.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s market value to realized value (MVRV) extreme deviation bands indicate that BTC is still trading well above its \u22120.5\u03c3 band, a level that has historically served as a gravity zone during corrective phases.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-12\/019ad9f7-bf19-750d-a9d2-f8f1919f5c8f\" alt=\"\" \/><figcaption><em>Bitcoin MVRV extreme deviation pricing bands. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In the 2018, 2019 and 2022 bear markets, Bitcoin repeatedly retraced to this \u22120.5\u03c3 region before establishing more sustainable bottoms, according to data from Glassnode.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><em><strong>\u2018Inevitable\u2019 $50K BTC price crash: 5 things to know in\u00a0Bitcoin\u00a0this week<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>A similar move today would imply a downside toward $76,250, aligning closely with targets implied by Brandt and Patel.<\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>Be the first to get most important HYIP news everyday!<br \/>\nSimply Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EmilyNewsOnline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">EN Facebook<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/CryptoHyipsEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\">EN Telegram<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmilyHyipNews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-size: 1.3em;\">EN Twitter<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\nor Subscribe to <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=Emilynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EN Feedburner<\/a><\/strong> and submit your email address!<\/p>\n<p>If you like this article and want to support EN \u2013 please share it by using at least few of social media buttons below. Thanks and See you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Reminder2-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13137\" src=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Reminder2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"544\" height=\"600\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s first monthly MACD rollover this cycle, alongside onchain data, raised the odds of a deeper pullback, as BTC price forecasts now include the mid-$60,000s. Bitcoin $86,843 Market Cap $1.73T Volume (24h) $31.03T \u00a0 sellers &hellip; <a title=\"Bitcoin could crash another 50%?\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54396\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bitcoin could crash another 50%?<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54398,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-54396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin could crash another 50%? - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54396\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin could crash another 50%? - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s first monthly MACD rollover this cycle, alongside onchain data, raised the odds of a deeper pullback, as BTC price forecasts now include the mid-$60,000s. 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