{"id":54175,"date":"2025-11-13T04:20:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T04:20:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54175"},"modified":"2025-11-13T04:20:09","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T04:20:09","slug":"jobs-data-blackout-to-muddy-bitcoins-macro-read-as-u-s-shutdown-comes-to-a-close","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54175","title":{"rendered":"Jobs Data Blackout to Muddy Bitcoin&#8217;s Macro Read as U.S. Shutdown Comes to a Close"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"font-akzidenz-grotesk leading-5.5 text-neutral-800 gg-dark:text-white text-xl font-medium mb-6\">Even as the shutdown ends, the loss of October\u2019s inflation data has left investors without a key read on price pressures heading into year-end.<\/h2>\n<div class=\"pt-8 pb-10 border-t border-b border-decryptGridline \">\n<h4 class=\"sc-b2a202e4-4 bNRGqr gg-dark:text-white\">In brief<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Traders are reassessing the policy outlook without October\u2019s inflation and employment figures.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Bitcoin extended its weekly slide, with prediction markets marking down the odds of a near-term move toward further gains.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Rate-cut expectations softened, with futures now implying even odds of a 25-basis-point move in December as analysts warn the Fed\u2019s data gap raises the risk of missteps.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Bitcoin and the broader financial markets are flying blind after the White House confirmed October\u2019s critical inflation and jobs data will likely not be released, creating a macro overhang and further complicating the Federal Reserve&#8217;s policy decisions this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">&#8220;The Democrats may have permanently damaged the Federal Statistical system with October CPI and jobs reports likely never being released,&#8221; White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt reportedly said Wednesday, as cited by <i>CNBC<\/i>. &#8220;All of that economic data released will be permanently impaired, leaving our policymakers at the Fed flying blind at a critical period.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">The White House placed the blame squarely on the longest-running U.S. government shutdown in its 236-year history, after the Democrats argued for an extension to tax credits expiring at the end of the year that would lower costs for the millions of Americans relying on health coverage.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/myriad.markets\/embed\/market\/bitcoin-s-next-move-pump-to-115k-or-dump-to-85k-a937b1c0-8943-480e-8ff4-3e6f811da49b\" width=\"100%\" height=\"415px\">&lt;span<br \/>\n data-mce-type=&#8221;bookmark&#8221; style=&#8221;display: inline-block; width: 0px;<br \/>\noverflow: hidden; line-height: 0;&#8221;<br \/>\nclass=&#8221;mce_SELRES_start&#8221;&gt;\ufeff&lt;\/span&gt;<\/iframe><\/div>\n<div class=\"post-content-w-full my-10 hidden xl:flex items-center justify-center\">\n<div class=\"relative flex-none flex\">\n<div id=\"decrypt_desktop_articles_inline-348417\" class=\"relative flex items-center\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Late Wednesday, the House passed a bill to reopen the Federal government, following a Senate vote on Monday. That measure has now been signed by President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Even so, the jobs data blackout has altered the broader market landscape, \u201camplifying the importance and uncertainty surrounding the next release, as it grants the data agency greater \u2018maneuvering room,\u2019\u201d Adam Chu, chief researcher at GreeksLive, told <i>Decrypt<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Bitcoin is down 1.1% over the past 24 hours and trading at $102,100, according to CoinGecko data, extending its 10% drop over the past week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">The rising uncertainty is also evident in prediction markets. Users on Myriad, owned by <i>Decrypt\u2019s<\/i> parent company Dastan, have tempered their bullish expectations, with the chance of Bitcoin hitting $115,000 before $85,000 dropping from 61.4% to 58.8% in a day.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content-w-full my-10 hidden xl:flex items-center justify-center\">\n<div class=\"relative flex-none flex\">\n<div id=\"decrypt_desktop_articles_inline-348417-8\" class=\"relative flex items-center\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">The move now casts doubt on a potential December interest rate cut, which analysts have previously highlighted as critical for shaping market expectations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">\u201cDecember rate futures now price in a 50% probability of a 25-basis-point cut,\u201d a significant drop from the previous market consensus, Chu noted.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"sc-b2a202e4-2 bmropA gg-dark:text-white scene:font-itc-avant-garde-gothic-pro scene:font-light\"><b>Data paused, what\u2019s next?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">The confusion over October\u2019s lost data has now flipped the script, creating a new set of challenges.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">\u201cIn a data-vacuum environment, the primary impact on macro-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin is a sharp rise in uncertainty, which naturally increases volatility,\u201d Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey, told <i>Decrypt<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">The analyst expects trading to become \u201csentiment-driven, making it difficult for the market to sustain strong upward momentum.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">It also puts Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has often emphasized a data-driven approach, in a difficult position.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">\u201cThe Fed is likely to shift into a risk-management posture,\u201d Sun said, suggesting that \u201can overly hawkish stance could amplify vulnerabilities and raise the probability of a policy misstep.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>If one of the paying programs on our Monitor appeals to you, please support <em>EmilyNews<\/em> by registering for it on our website. Thanks very very much!<\/p>\n<p>EN web <strong>Support Chat<\/strong> | Hyips and Crypto questions \u2013 <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"http:\/\/emilynews.com\/chat\/hyips\/\">HyipChatEN<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Telegram Chat for Crypto and Hyip reports: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/HyipChatEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@HyipChatEN<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>Be the first to get most important HYIP news everyday!<br \/>\nSimply Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EmilyNewsOnline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">EN Facebook<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/CryptoHyipsEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\">EN Telegram<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmilyHyipNews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-size: 1.3em;\">EN Twitter<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\nor Subscribe to <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=Emilynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EN Feedburner<\/a><\/strong> and submit your email address!<\/p>\n<p>If you like this article and want to support EN \u2013 please share it by using at least few of social media buttons below. Thanks and See you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Reminder2-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13137\" src=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Reminder2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"544\" height=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Even as the shutdown ends, the loss of October\u2019s inflation data has left investors without a key read on price pressures heading into year-end. In brief Traders are reassessing the policy outlook without October\u2019s inflation &hellip; <a title=\"Jobs Data Blackout to Muddy Bitcoin&#8217;s Macro Read as U.S. Shutdown Comes to a Close\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54175\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Jobs Data Blackout to Muddy Bitcoin&#8217;s Macro Read as U.S. Shutdown Comes to a Close<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54177,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,3812,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-54175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-cryptonews","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Jobs Data Blackout to Muddy Bitcoin&#039;s Macro Read as U.S. Shutdown Comes to a Close - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=54175\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jobs Data Blackout to Muddy Bitcoin&#039;s Macro Read as U.S. Shutdown Comes to a Close - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Even as the shutdown ends, the loss of October\u2019s inflation data has left investors without a key read on price pressures heading into year-end. 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