{"id":53580,"date":"2025-07-03T04:24:01","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T04:24:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53580"},"modified":"2025-07-03T04:24:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T04:24:02","slug":"can-bitcoin-benefit-from-big-beautiful-bill-passage-and-us-debt-ceiling-increase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53580","title":{"rendered":"Can Bitcoin benefit from \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019 passage and US debt ceiling increase?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Traders say Bitcoin will benefit from the proposed $5 trillion increase to the US debt ceiling, but data could suggest otherwise.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>Historical data fail to show a consistent link between Bitcoin price gains and US debt ceiling increases.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s resilience reflects investors\u2019 belief that the US dollar will continue to lose value due to US domestic fiscal policy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The United States Senate passed US President Donald Trump\u2019s \u201cOne Big Beautiful Bill\u201d on Tuesday, moving it one step closer to becoming law. The proposed $5 trillion increase to the debt ceiling has stirred significant controversy, and many Bitcoin <span style=\"font-size: 1rem;\">advocates believe the move could be a catalyst for a new all-time high in 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/0197cc3c-fd4d-7841-94d1-7435b7c3f6da\" \/><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD near debt ceiling increases\/suspensions. Source: TradingView \/ Cointelegraph<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Although several solid analyses point to a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, past US debt ceiling increases and suspensions have generally led to bearish outcomes, at least in the six months that followed. In fact, the June 2023 event stands as the only instance where BTC posted gains afterward.<\/p>\n<p>Some might argue that markets price in these developments in advance. However, that assumption weakens when looking at Bitcoin\u2019s flat performance. On Tuesday, Bitcoin held steady at $105,000, the same level as five months earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s resilience occurred despite widespread expectations that the Trump administration would push through the debt ceiling increase. At that time, economists projected the government would run out of funds by mid-August.<\/p>\n<h2>A Bitcoin bull run holds little relationship to the US debt ceiling<\/h2>\n<p>The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates that the proposed legislation will add at least $3.3 trillion to the federal deficit over the next decade. The nearly 900-page bill passed in the Senate by a one-vote margin and now returns to the US House of Representatives.<\/p>\n<p>Sven Henrich, founder of NorthmanTrader, criticized US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent\u2019s claims that the bill represents a step toward \u201ccontrolling the US debt.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/0197cc3d-00d9-709c-bf84-bc99c2fd0ffc\" \/><figcaption><em>Source: x\/<\/em><em>NorthmanTrader<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to Henrich, raising the debt ceiling while \u201crunning record deficits\u201d and lowering interest rates aligns with \u201cmodern monetary theory\u201d \u2014 an approach suggesting that governments can fund expenditures by creating money, rather than through taxes or borrowing.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than focusing solely on lawmakers\u2019 decisions, attention should turn to how the central bank will respond. If the US Federal Reserve maintains higher interest rates, debt servicing costs rise. On the other hand, a shift toward looser monetary policy could undermine the US dollar\u2019s strength.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/0197cc3d-0543-7fad-8765-44a5c839664f\" \/><figcaption><em>US 10-year Treasury (left, magenta) vs. BTC\/USD (right, blue). Source: TradingView \/ Cointelegraph<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Generally speaking, higher US Treasury yields reflect reduced investor confidence, as buyers demand greater compensation for perceived risks. Historically, this indicator has shown a positive correlation with Bitcoin\u2019s price, meaning both tend to rise together, given the cryptocurrency\u2019s appeal as an alternative asset.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, Bitcoin holding above $105,000 while the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.25% from 4.50% on June 6 suggests early signs of a decoupling. Even so, it remains too early to declare Bitcoin a proven reserve asset, particularly as both gold and the S&amp;P 500 approach their own all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><em><strong>Bitcoin holds steady as major catalysts align for breakout above $110K<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/0197cc3d-09ec-7629-8d4b-f51f81a08c4f\" \/><figcaption><em>Source: x\/<\/em><em>KobeissiLetter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In effect, broader markets appear to be pricing in a weaker US dollar, as evidenced by capital flowing into assets that traditionally benefit from currency debasement, such as equities, commodities, and Bitcoin itself.<\/p>\n<p>According to \u201cThe Kobeissi Letter,\u201d the dollar\u2019s devaluation comes as investors react to tariffs, the US deficit spending crisis, and pressure on the Fed to cut rates.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, while the debt ceiling increase may coincide with a Bitcoin rally above $110,000, historical patterns do not support a direct causal link between these events.<\/p>\n<p>*********************************<\/p>\n<p>Be the first to get most important HYIP news everyday!<br \/>\nSimply Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EmilyNewsOnline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">EN Facebook<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/telegram.me\/CryptoHyipsEN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\">EN Telegram<\/strong><\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmilyHyipNews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-size: 1.3em;\">EN Twitter<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\nor Subscribe to <strong><a style=\"color: #c03939; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=Emilynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EN Feedburner<\/a><\/strong> and submit your email address!<\/p>\n<p>If you like this article and want to support EN \u2013 please share it by using at least few of social media buttons below. Thanks and See you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Reminder2-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13137\" src=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Reminder2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"544\" height=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traders say Bitcoin will benefit from the proposed $5 trillion increase to the US debt ceiling, but data could suggest otherwise. Key takeaways: Historical data fail to show a consistent link between Bitcoin price gains &hellip; <a title=\"Can Bitcoin benefit from \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019 passage and US debt ceiling increase?\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53580\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Can Bitcoin benefit from \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019 passage and US debt ceiling increase?<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53582,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,3812,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-53580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-cryptonews","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can Bitcoin benefit from \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019 passage and US debt ceiling increase? - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53580\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can Bitcoin benefit from \u2018Big Beautiful Bill\u2019 passage and US debt ceiling increase? - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Traders say Bitcoin will benefit from the proposed $5 trillion increase to the US debt ceiling, but data could suggest otherwise. 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