{"id":53495,"date":"2025-06-11T04:38:06","date_gmt":"2025-06-11T04:38:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53495"},"modified":"2025-06-11T04:38:55","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T04:38:55","slug":"bitcoins-fair-value-could-be-as-high-as-230k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53495","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s &#8216;fair value&#8217; could be as high as $230K ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trump\u2019s tax cuts and soaring US debt fuel Bitcoin\u2019s rise as a hedge against sovereign default risks, potentially pushing BTC price toward $200,000 or more by 2025.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key takeaways<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bitwise predicts Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by year-end, with a potential \u201cfair value\u201d of $230,000.<\/li>\n<li>Trump\u2019s proposed tax cuts and rising US debt position Bitcoin as a hedge against sovereign default risks.<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin\u2019s OTT signal suggests strong momentum after a dip to $100,000.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin\u00a0could surpass $200,000 by the end of the year and eventually reach its estimated \u201cfair value\u201d of $230,000, according to Bitwise researchers Andr\u00e9 Dragosch and Ayush Tripathi.<\/p>\n<h2>Trump\u2019s \u201cOne Big Beautiful Bill Act\u201d is bullish for Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>In their\u00a0weekly crypto outlook, Dragosch and Tripathi cite the US\u2019s soaring federal debt and mandatory spending exceeding revenue, exacerbated by Trump\u2019s proposed \u201cOne Big Beautiful Bill Act\u201d tax cuts, as key drivers of their bullish Bitcoin prediction.<\/p>\n<p>The Congressional Budget Office\u00a0forecasts\u00a0net interest payments tripling to $3 trillion by 2030, raising default fears.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin\u2019s scarcity and resilience position it uniquely to benefit from both fiscal instability and improving market sentiment,\u201d Bitwise analysts said. If these trends hold, the top crypto could shatter price expectations by year-end.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related:\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>Bank of Japan pivot to QE may fuel Bitcoin rally \u2014 Arthur Hayes<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">An example of such \u201csovereign stress\u201d is Bitcoin\u2019s performance in the wake of the\u00a0Donald Trump-Elon Musk feud\u00a0last week, driven by the latter\u2019s criticism of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.<\/p>\n<p>BTC\u2019s price declined 6% to almost $100,000 amid the spat, only to recover sharply over the weekend.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u201cDespite a short-lived dip to $100K during the Musk-Trump spat, BTC quickly rebounded on short liquidations,\u201d wrote Bitwise, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThe [bullish] backdrop remains constructive.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Consensus builds on $200,000 BTC price target<\/h2>\n<p>Adding to Bitwise\u2019s outlook, a May 28 analysis by Stockmoney Lizards highlights a\u00a0bullish Bitcoin breakout indicator.<\/p>\n<p>The signal comes from the Optimized Trend Tracker (OTT), which triggered for the first time since mid-2024, suggesting Bitcoin will potentially reach $200,000 in 2025, with a possible extension to $250,000.<img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-06\/01975a79-6170-70a9-bef7-291691767a90\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<figure><figcaption><em>Bitcoin OTT data. Source: Stockmoney Lizards\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Last month, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan\u00a0told Cointelegraph\u00a0that the BTC price will hit $200,000 by the end of 2025, driven by a supply shock from surging institutional demand.<\/p>\n<p>A \u201cpower law\u201d model that has accurately called Bitcoin tops and bottoms in the past cycles further hints at BTC price hitting $200,000 by year\u2019s end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump\u2019s tax cuts and soaring US debt fuel Bitcoin\u2019s rise as a hedge against sovereign default risks, potentially pushing BTC price toward $200,000 or more by 2025. Key takeaways: Bitwise predicts Bitcoin could hit $200,000 &hellip; <a title=\"Bitcoin\u2019s &#8216;fair value&#8217; could be as high as $230K ?\" class=\"exalt-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53495\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bitcoin\u2019s &#8216;fair value&#8217; could be as high as $230K ?<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53497,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,6],"tags":[139,3544,3812,5652,10,159,97],"class_list":["post-53495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptonews","category-information","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-cryptonews","tag-emilynews","tag-hyip","tag-hyipnews","tag-hyips","exalt-entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin\u2019s &#039;fair value&#039; could be as high as $230K ? - EmilyNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=53495\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s &#039;fair value&#039; could be as high as $230K ? - EmilyNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Trump\u2019s tax cuts and soaring US debt fuel Bitcoin\u2019s rise as a hedge against sovereign default risks, potentially pushing BTC price toward $200,000 or more by 2025. 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