{"id":51148,"date":"2024-06-03T00:08:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-03T00:08:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-halving-bull-run-130k-september-2025"},"modified":"2024-06-03T03:46:11","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T03:46:11","slug":"bitcoin-post-halving-run-may-reach-130k-by-september-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emilynews.com\/blog\/?p=51148","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin post-halving run may reach $130K by September 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a cycle peak of $130,000 to $150,000 between late August to early September if it follows the trajectory of previous post-halving bull markets, according to crypto trader Peter Brandt.<\/p>\n

The recently-passed April 20 Bitcoin halving is a coded-in event about every four years that slashes mining rewards by 50%, and halving dates have \u201crepresented almost perfect symmetry within past bull market cycles,\u201d Brandt wrote in a June 2 report.<\/p>\n

He claimed historically, the Bitcoin halving date has sat almost in the middle of when a bull market starts and when it reaches its peak.<\/p>\n

The last Bitcoin bull market started about 16 months before the halving on May 11, 2020, and the cycle ended about 18 months after that, according to Brandt\u2019s analysis.<\/p>\n

Brandt noted that the two previous halvings \u2014 on July 9, 2016 and Nov. 28, 2012 \u2014 followed a similar pattern.<\/p>\n

Chart showing Bitcoin halving dates and claimed bull cycle starts and peaks. Source: Peter Brandt<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cIf this sequence continues, the next bull market cycle high should occur in late Aug\/early Sep 2025,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n

Brandt added that \u201cno method of analysis is fool-proof\u201d when it comes to guessing Bitcoin\u2019s cycle high, but past highs have followed a similar growth pattern and if it continues he puts a bull market high \u201cin the $130,000 to $150,000 range.\u201d<\/p>\n

Chance Bitcoin has already topped<\/h2>\n

Brandt\u2019s analysis marks Dec. 17, 2022, as the start of the current bull market. BTC traded around $16,800 then, but it has since gained over 300% to trade at $67,882, per Cointelegraph Markets Pro.<\/p>\n

TradingView data showing Bitcoin\u2019s price growth since late 2022. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Bitcoin is down from its March 14 all-time high of $73,679, however, and Brandt believes there\u2019s a 25% chance that Bitcoin has already hit a bull market top as each bull cycle\u2019s gains are dropping relative to the one prior.<\/p>\n

If BTC fails to make a new all-time high and sinks below $55,000, Brandt says he\u2019d raise the probability that the cryptocurrency is experiencing an \u201cexponential decay.\u201d<\/p>\n

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Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a cycle peak of $130,000 to $150,000 between late August to early September if it follows the trajectory of previous post-halving bull markets, according to crypto trader Peter Brandt. 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